"Mere Puffery or Convincing Claims? Rebel News and Civilian Perceptions of Group Strength". Accepted at International Studies Quarterly.
Amira Jadoon and Caleb Lucas. "Tactics, Targets and State Legitimacy in Afghanistan." Forthcoming at the Journal of Politics.
Will Hobbs, Nazita Lajevardi, Xinyi Li, and Caleb Lucas. "From Anti-Muslim to Anti-Jewish: Target Substitution on Fringe Social Media Platforms and the Persistence of Online and Offline Hate." Accepted at Political Behavior.
Caleb Lucas, Benjamin Appel, and Alyssa Prorok. "Not Too Distant: Grievance, Opportunity, and the Onset of Civil War," Civil Wars 24, no. 4 (2022):497-523. [Link] [Bib]
Kevin Greene and Caleb Lucas. "Once More, With Feeling: Using Sentiment Analysis to Improve Models of Relationships Between Non-State Actors," International Interactions 46, no. 1 (2020):150-162. [Link] [Bib]
"Deadly Dates: The Relationship Between Holy Days and Terrorism"